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The economic prospects in emerging countries

By: goodscool wang
For : rihey
Date Added : January 7, 2011 Views : 104
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The international financial crisis, emerging economies in export expansion and domestic demand growth, driven by strong recovery, and played a leading role in world economic growth engine. In 2011, emerging economies can continue this momentum?

Most authorities believe that the United States in 2011, emerging economies will continue to play the world economy, "the first locomotive" role. See from the development trend of GDP, emerging economies in 2011 will maintain high growth momentum. Among them, China, India, Brazil, the most dynamic economy, an increase of up to 8% or more. Russia, the Middle East, Latin America and other oil-rich economies, but also with international commodity prices and other factors, to achieve 5% growth rate.
Nomura Securities forecasts, according to purchasing power parity, global economic growth in 2011 will have nearly three-quarters come from emerging economies, which have almost half from China and India. Predicted that by 2011 China's contribution to global economic growth rate will be 3 times the United States, while India's contribution to the rate of Western Europe and Japan combined.

The major emerging economies in 2011 how the specific trend, in turn what are the opportunities and challenges facing?

U.S. research institutions in Brazil in 2011, the economy is good. Such as the U.S. banks that have faced in the Asia Pacific region and international markets tightening domestic inflation and other challenges, Brazil's shift the use of international commodity prices rise further and further growth in domestic demand as the world economic situation, the best country performance one of the more than 6.5% expected growth rate. However, with the rapid development of economy in recent years, Brazil's infrastructure development lags behind the inhibitory effect on the economy growing. In addition, the sharp appreciation of the Brazilian currency has been as high as 10.75% interest rate, rising consumer price index and the tax system so loose, will be an obstacle to healthy economic development.

As for India, research institutions are generally good, it also believes that accelerating the country to attract foreign capital, if not to elevate the domestic transportation, communications and other infrastructure level, economic growth will face even greater bottleneck.

2011, the overall prospects for economic growth in Africa to improve, major economies have tended to be mild growth, with South Africa's growth rate will reach 3.5%. Slow economic recovery in the developed countries in Africa would adversely affect trade, but to a limited extent, the African economy has maintained growth trend will be reversed.

According to OECD forecasts, from 2011 to 2015, the ASEAN average growth rate of six major emerging economies to reach 7.3%, among which the fastest growing in Singapore. In 2011, ASEAN's opportunities and challenges. ASEAN is the vast market opportunities with the global economic upturn will be a huge investment, ASEAN can target their own economic characteristics, to promote infrastructure improvements, improve the investment environment and improve service levels. The challenge is the weak dollar caused the region's exports less competitive, higher inflation pressure will also bring economic growth.

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